NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP LONG
Points 66.7 76.1
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 19.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 14.4
Shooting HAMP LONG
Field Goals Made 23.4 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 62.5
Field Goal % 42.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.0 44.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 12.8 14.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 21.0
Free Throw % 72.7% 68.6%
Ball Control HAMP LONG
Rebounds 31.3 41.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 14.8
Turnovers 12.4 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.3
Steals 4.9 7.2
Fouls 14.9 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP LONG
Total Possessions 70.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 75.9
% of Possessions with HAMP LONG
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 21.1%
Player Fouled 21.8% 21.2%
Turnover 17.6% 13.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP LONG
Shot Blocked 3.8% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 38.6%