NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU ODU
Points 73.5 68.9
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.0 35.3
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 23.5
Points From Free Throws 17.8 10.0
Shooting ECU ODU
Field Goals Made 23.9 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.5 60.0
Field Goal % 42.3% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.1 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 31.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 15.2
Free Throw % 68.6% 65.9%
Ball Control ECU ODU
Rebounds 40.0 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.2
Turnovers 10.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.1
Steals 6.5 6.2
Fouls 12.3 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Old Dominion

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU ODU
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 72.4 69.4
% of Possessions with ECU ODU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 30.5%
Player Fouled 22.1% 17.3%
Turnover 14.7% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU ODU
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 24.7%