NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU SMU
Points 67.7 76.5
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 24.2
Points From Free Throws 13.8 13.0
Shooting ECU SMU
Field Goals Made 23.7 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 13.8 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 18.9
Free Throw % 68.6% 68.6%
Ball Control ECU SMU
Rebounds 33.9 40.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 14.5
Turnovers 10.6 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.9
Steals 6.9 6.8
Fouls 12.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: S Methodist

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU SMU
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 73.3
% of Possessions with ECU SMU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 28.5%
Player Fouled 20.6% 18.3%
Turnover 15.4% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 10.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU SMU
Shot Blocked 8.2% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 39.6%