NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL SJU
Points 71.7 76.0
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 22.0
Points From Free Throws 17.2 11.9
Shooting HALL SJU
Field Goals Made 24.2 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 64.4
Field Goal % 41.1% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.3 41.3
2 Point Shooting % 43.8% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 31.9%
Free Throws Made 17.2 11.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 16.1
Free Throw % 80.8% 74.2%
Ball Control HALL SJU
Rebounds 36.6 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 24.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 13.4
Turnovers 12.0 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.6 7.2
Steals 6.6 6.8
Fouls 13.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: St Johns

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL SJU
Total Possessions 71.2
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 74.6
% of Possessions with HALL SJU
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 26.7%
Player Fouled 22.0% 18.4%
Turnover 16.9% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL SJU
Shot Blocked 11.4% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 33.3% 35.3%