NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL RUTG
Points 65.8 78.4
Total Points   144.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.6 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 22.4
Points From Free Throws 11.9 17.1
Shooting HALL RUTG
Field Goals Made 23.9 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 53.4
Field Goal % 41.6% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 33.3
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 58.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.9 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 37.1%
Free Throws Made 11.9 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 24.0
Free Throw % 68.6% 71.3%
Ball Control HALL RUTG
Rebounds 31.6 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 20.9 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.4
Turnovers 12.0 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.9
Steals 6.0 6.8
Fouls 18.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rutgers

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL RUTG
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 67.8
% of Possessions with HALL RUTG
2 Point Attempt 47.0% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 23.1% 25.0%
Player Fouled 21.3% 27.0%
Turnover 17.2% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL RUTG
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 31.0%