NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU WICH
Points 65.4 79.2
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.6 41.4
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 23.8
Points From Free Throws 15.6 14.1
Shooting ECU WICH
Field Goals Made 22.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 66.2
Field Goal % 40.1% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 41.5 42.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 7.9
3 Pointers Attempted 15.6 23.8
3 Point Shooting % 26.0% 33.3%
Free Throws Made 15.6 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.3
Free Throw % 70.3% 66.2%
Ball Control ECU WICH
Rebounds 33.9 45.3
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 17.1
Turnovers 10.5 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.1
Steals 4.9 6.0
Fouls 13.6 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Wichita St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU WICH
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 79.7
% of Possessions with ECU WICH
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 26.4%
Player Fouled 23.2% 19.0%
Turnover 14.8% 12.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU WICH
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 41.3%