NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU WICH
Points 73.6 74.4
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.7 42.9
Points From 3-Pointers 19.0 17.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 14.0
Shooting ECU WICH
Field Goals Made 26.7 27.3
Field Goals Attempted 63.1 61.8
Field Goal % 42.3% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 20.4 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.0 45.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 13.8 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 19.5
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.9%
Ball Control ECU WICH
Rebounds 36.8 39.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.9
Turnovers 8.9 10.3
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.4
Steals 7.1 5.7
Fouls 12.8 13.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU WICH
Total Possessions 71.5
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 73.1
% of Possessions with ECU WICH
2 Point Attempt 49.5% 53.2%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 18.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.8%
Turnover 12.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU WICH
Shot Blocked 7.3% 9.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.1% 32.1%