NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP NORF
Points 64.8 73.6
Total Points   138.4
Points From 2-Pointers 25.2 40.3
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 18.6
Points From Free Throws 15.7 14.7
Shooting HAMP NORF
Field Goals Made 20.6 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 60.4
Field Goal % 38.8% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 12.6 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 27.9 41.5
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 18.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 15.7 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 20.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 71.8%
Ball Control HAMP NORF
Rebounds 35.1 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.7
Turnovers 13.1 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 4.1 8.1
Fouls 14.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP NORF
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.6 72.9
% of Possessions with HAMP NORF
2 Point Attempt 34.5% 49.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.0% 22.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 20.7%
Turnover 18.7% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 11.6% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP NORF
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 31.4%