NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ECU MEM
Points 71.3 78.8
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 25.2 26.3
Points From Free Throws 12.9 15.6
Shooting ECU MEM
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 57.5
Field Goal % 40.9% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.8% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.8 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 12.9 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 21.4
Free Throw % 68.6% 72.7%
Ball Control ECU MEM
Rebounds 34.6 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.6 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 11.9
Turnovers 11.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.2
Steals 7.2 6.9
Fouls 15.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: E Carolina

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ECU MEM
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 71.2
% of Possessions with ECU MEM
2 Point Attempt 41.2% 37.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 30.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 21.1%
Turnover 15.9% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ECU MEM
Shot Blocked 7.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 33.2% 35.5%