NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP CWM
Points 69.1 70.5
Total Points   139.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 30.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 27.5
Points From Free Throws 13.7 12.3
Shooting HAMP CWM
Field Goals Made 24.6 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 56.8 61.4
Field Goal % 43.4% 39.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 9.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 29.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 30.8%
Free Throws Made 13.7 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 18.9 18.2
Free Throw % 72.7% 67.7%
Ball Control HAMP CWM
Rebounds 36.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.9
Turnovers 9.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 4.3 1.9
Steals 4.5 5.0
Fouls 13.7 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP CWM
Total Possessions 69.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 72.2
% of Possessions with HAMP CWM
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 36.1%
Player Fouled 21.4% 19.8%
Turnover 13.6% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP CWM
Shot Blocked 3.2% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 29.8%