NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HALL VILL
Points 69.1 67.4
Total Points   136.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.1 26.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 30.7
Points From Free Throws 11.8 10.5
Shooting HALL VILL
Field Goals Made 24.9 23.4
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 58.7
Field Goal % 43.1% 39.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 13.1
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.8 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 11.8 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 13.1
Free Throw % 80.8% 79.7%
Ball Control HALL VILL
Rebounds 37.6 32.6
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 25.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 7.3
Turnovers 10.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.2
Steals 6.2 5.9
Fouls 12.2 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: Seton Hall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HALL VILL
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 66.9 65.7
% of Possessions with HALL VILL
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 40.5%
Player Fouled 19.7% 17.9%
Turnover 14.9% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HALL VILL
Shot Blocked 5.6% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 20.3%