NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF BUCK
Points 69.5 60.7
Total Points   130.2
Points From 2-Pointers 30.3 22.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.7 28.7
Points From Free Throws 10.5 9.5
Shooting HOF BUCK
Field Goals Made 24.7 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 53.6
Field Goal % 44.5% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 15.2 11.3
2 Pointers Attempted 27.5 25.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 43.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 28.1 27.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 10.5 9.5
Free Throws Attempted 14.3 13.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 70.3%
Ball Control HOF BUCK
Rebounds 33.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.5 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.1
Turnovers 8.8 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 2.6
Steals 6.0 5.2
Fouls 12.3 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Bucknell

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF BUCK
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 61.9
% of Possessions with HOF BUCK
2 Point Attempt 37.2% 34.3%
3 Point Attempt 37.9% 36.9%
Player Fouled 21.2% 18.8%
Turnover 13.4% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF BUCK
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 23.4%