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Hofstra at Purdue
Wed Dec 7, 2022
7:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Hofstra at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 23.5, Total Points: 143.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | HOF | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-18-0 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-12-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-7-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 9-11-0 | 14-8-1 |
Hofstra Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | St. Joseph's (LI) | -- | W by 53 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | Princeton | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Geo Wshgtn | +1.5 | L by 11 | -9.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Buffalo | -9.5 | W by 34 | +24.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Wright St | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | High Point | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Iona | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Saint Louis | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 12/12 | Away | Duke | +15.5 | L by 21 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Norfolk St | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | UNLV | +4.0 | L by 18 | -14.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | St Johns | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Col Charlestn | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Delaware | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Northeastrn | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 1 | -10.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Hampton | -19.0 | W by 9 | -10.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Stony Brook | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Wm & Mary | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Monmouth | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Stony Brook | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Towson | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Hampton | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | NC A&T | -12.5 | W by 32 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Drexel | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Northeastrn | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 12 | +8.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Elon | -13.5 | W by 23 | +9.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | NC-Wilmgton | +5.0 | W by 11 | +16.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Col Charlestn | +6.0 | L by 11 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Delaware | -6.0 | W by 15 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Stony Brook | -8.5 | L by 4 | -12.5 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -23.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -23.5 |
| Last | -22.0 | Low | -18.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 366 games where the closing line favored the home team by 22.5 to 24.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 358 times (97.8%).
- The team like Hofstra won the game 8 times (2.2%).
- The team like Hofstra did better against the spread, going 183-180-3 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 27 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Hofstra did better against the spread, going 15-12 (55.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 3.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -23.0 | -23.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/07 06:47 PM | -23.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:44 PM | -- | -23.5 | -- |
| 12/07 06:29 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:08 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:05 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:32 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:20 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:44 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:26 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:41 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:32 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:24 AM | -- | -22.0 | -- |
| 12/07 10:56 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:44 AM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:35 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 12/07 09:14 AM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:07 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:43 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:23 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:01 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:56 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:31 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:14 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 12/06 09:24 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 12/06 08:44 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 12/06 08:31 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:34 PM | -- | -18.0 | -- |
| 12/06 05:31 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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