NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF COFC
Points 74.5 75.0
Total Points   149.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.1 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 35.5
Points From Free Throws 9.4 11.6
Shooting HOF COFC
Field Goals Made 27.7 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 62.4
Field Goal % 47.7% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.5 29.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 46.7%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 11.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 9.4 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 16.1
Free Throw % 73.2% 72.3%
Ball Control HOF COFC
Rebounds 32.7 38.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 12.0
Turnovers 10.0 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 2.6
Steals 5.5 5.4
Fouls 12.3 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Col Charlestn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF COFC
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 72.5
% of Possessions with HOF COFC
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 33.4% 39.2%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.6%
Turnover 14.3% 13.5%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF COFC
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.2% 31.0%