NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF DREX
Points 69.8 66.4
Total Points   136.2
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.4 22.3
Points From Free Throws 8.9 11.7
Shooting HOF DREX
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 57.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 35.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 45.1%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.8 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 8.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.2 16.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 71.0%
Ball Control HOF DREX
Rebounds 31.1 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 10.6
Turnovers 7.9 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.0
Steals 4.9 4.2
Fouls 12.6 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF DREX
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 67.2
% of Possessions with HOF DREX
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.5%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 26.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 18.9%
Turnover 11.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF DREX
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 29.6%