NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOF NE
Points 72.5 63.5
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.9 31.8
Points From 3-Pointers 30.6 21.0
Points From Free Throws 9.0 10.7
Shooting HOF NE
Field Goals Made 26.6 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 54.6
Field Goal % 48.6% 41.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 15.9
2 Pointers Attempted 29.3 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.2 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 40.0% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 9.0 10.7
Free Throws Attempted 12.4 14.5
Free Throw % 73.2% 73.5%
Ball Control HOF NE
Rebounds 29.9 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.8 9.5
Turnovers 10.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 6.0 5.5
Fouls 11.8 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Hofstra

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOF NE
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 62.1 64.0
% of Possessions with HOF NE
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 34.7% 28.6%
Player Fouled 19.2% 17.8%
Turnover 15.3% 18.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOF NE
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.3% 28.3%