NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL TAM
Points 66.1 95.9
Total Points   162.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 16.6 21.1
Points From Free Throws 14.7 23.4
Shooting NORL TAM
Field Goals Made 22.9 32.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 66.0
Field Goal % 39.4% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 57.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.8 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.9% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 14.7 23.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 32.9
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.3%
Ball Control NORL TAM
Rebounds 26.0 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 17.8 30.0
Rebounds - Offensive 8.2 20.9
Turnovers 11.4 7.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.9
Steals 3.9 6.3
Fouls 19.2 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Texas A&M

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL TAM
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 86.5
% of Possessions with NORL TAM
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 23.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 23.6% 26.2%
Turnover 15.5% 10.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL TAM
Shot Blocked 7.5% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 53.9%