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New Orleans at Miss State
Sun Nov 17, 2019
3:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
New Orleans at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 17, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NORL | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-18-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-14-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-7-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 9-11-0 | 11-9-0 |
New Orleans Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Millsaps | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/11 | Home | Southern-New Orleans | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 11/18 | Away | Loyola-Chi | +14.5 | L by 3 | +11.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Oklahoma St | +13.5 | L by 28 | -14.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | North Dakota | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Minnesota | +12.0 | L by 33 | -21.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Belhaven College | -- | W by 14 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | San Jose St | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/11 | Away | San Francisco | +20.5 | L by 13 | +7.5 |
| 12/14 | Home | Bham Southern | -- | W by 40 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Ohio St | +24.0 | L by 42 | -18.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Ste F Austin | +14.5 | L by 29 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | SE Louisiana | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | TX A&M-CC | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Nicholls | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | NW State | -7.0 | L by 25 | -32.0 |
| 01/22 | Away | Hsn Christian | -3.0 | L by 8 | -11.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | McNeese St | +18.5 | L by 37 | -18.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | Lamar | +9.5 | L by 25 | -15.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Incar Word | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Hsn Christian | -6.5 | W by 26 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/12 | Away | NW State | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Lamar | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/19 | Home | Nicholls | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | SE Louisiana | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Incar Word | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/04 | Away | TX A&M-CC | +13.5 | L by 13 | +0.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | McNeese St | +16.5 | L by 24 | -7.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +5.5 | W by 12 | +17.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Lamar | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -17.0 | Open | -18.0 | High | -18.5 |
| Last | -16.5 | Low | -16.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 682 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16 to 18 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 646 times (94.7%).
- The team like New Orleans won the game 36 times (5.3%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 338-326-18 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2586 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1298-1240-48 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -17.0 | -16.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -16.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/17 02:52 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 01:55 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 01:31 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 11/17 01:16 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 11:35 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 08:08 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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