NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL IW
Points 75.4 75.0
Total Points   150.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 38.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 18.8
Points From Free Throws 20.5 17.7
Shooting NORL IW
Field Goals Made 24.8 25.5
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 57.1
Field Goal % 41.7% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.5 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 43.1 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.1% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 20.5 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 29.0 24.7
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.7%
Ball Control NORL IW
Rebounds 33.4 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.0 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.4
Turnovers 9.5 15.0
Blocked Shots 4.2 4.2
Steals 8.0 4.8
Fouls 17.4 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Incar Word

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL IW
Total Possessions 75.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.5 72.9
% of Possessions with NORL IW
2 Point Attempt 49.2% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 18.6% 20.9%
Player Fouled 25.8% 23.0%
Turnover 12.5% 19.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL IW
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 35.0%