NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL NICH
Points 71.5 80.1
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 37.9 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 22.3
Points From Free Throws 19.6 18.2
Shooting NORL NICH
Field Goals Made 23.6 27.2
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 56.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.0% 52.4%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.6 18.6
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 39.9%
Free Throws Made 19.6 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.7 25.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 72.4%
Ball Control NORL NICH
Rebounds 33.1 38.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.8 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 10.2
Turnovers 10.3 12.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 4.1
Steals 7.1 5.8
Fouls 17.4 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL NICH
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.3 71.7
% of Possessions with NORL NICH
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.3% 21.6%
Player Fouled 26.2% 23.4%
Turnover 13.8% 17.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL NICH
Shot Blocked 7.4% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 30.8%