NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL BYU
Points 62.0 96.7
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.6 30.9
Points From Free Throws 15.5 15.9
Shooting NORL BYU
Field Goals Made 21.2 35.2
Field Goals Attempted 58.5 63.6
Field Goal % 36.2% 55.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 67.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 15.2 26.8
3 Point Shooting % 27.6% 38.5%
Free Throws Made 15.5 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 21.9
Free Throw % 70.6% 72.5%
Ball Control NORL BYU
Rebounds 26.3 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 33.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 13.0
Turnovers 10.4 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.2 4.2
Steals 5.3 5.1
Fouls 16.2 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL BYU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 77.6
% of Possessions with NORL BYU
2 Point Attempt 52.0% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 18.2% 30.4%
Player Fouled 24.4% 21.9%
Turnover 14.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL BYU
Shot Blocked 6.7% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 40.9%