NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL HCU
Points 81.9 76.6
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 51.1 46.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.1 13.3
Points From Free Throws 15.8 16.8
Shooting NORL HCU
Field Goals Made 30.6 27.7
Field Goals Attempted 65.0 58.6
Field Goal % 47.0% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 25.5 23.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.5 45.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.7% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 13.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 15.8 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 26.3
Free Throw % 70.6% 64.1%
Ball Control NORL HCU
Rebounds 35.0 39.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.7 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 12.5
Turnovers 8.8 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.2 2.4
Steals 8.1 4.5
Fouls 17.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Hsn Christian

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL HCU
Total Possessions 76.2
Effective Scoring Chances 78.7 74.8
% of Possessions with NORL HCU
2 Point Attempt 54.8% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 18.7% 14.9%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.8%
Turnover 11.5% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 10.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL HCU
Shot Blocked 4.2% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 34.5%