NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NORL AMCC
Points 68.0 78.0
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.3 44.5
Points From 3-Pointers 12.3 14.4
Points From Free Throws 20.4 19.0
Shooting NORL AMCC
Field Goals Made 21.8 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 52.5 60.6
Field Goal % 41.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 37.5 45.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 14.9
3 Point Shooting % 27.3% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 20.4 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 28.9 26.6
Free Throw % 70.6% 71.6%
Ball Control NORL AMCC
Rebounds 31.5 41.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 14.2
Turnovers 12.5 11.4
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.4
Steals 6.2 7.1
Fouls 17.7 21.8

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NORL AMCC
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 77.1
% of Possessions with NORL AMCC
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 16.5%
Player Fouled 29.3% 23.8%
Turnover 16.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NORL AMCC
Shot Blocked 5.8% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 37.8%