NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN VALP
Points 71.1 67.9
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 11.3 9.8
Shooting EVAN VALP
Field Goals Made 26.6 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 60.2
Field Goal % 46.6% 41.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 24.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 11.3 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 13.9
Free Throw % 69.9% 70.2%
Ball Control EVAN VALP
Rebounds 36.2 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.1
Turnovers 11.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.3
Steals 5.9 6.0
Fouls 12.8 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Valparaiso

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN VALP
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 69.0
% of Possessions with EVAN VALP
2 Point Attempt 49.3% 44.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 20.0% 18.2%
Turnover 15.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN VALP
Shot Blocked 5.6% 3.8%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.1%