NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN CIN
Points 61.0 78.1
Total Points   139.1
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 25.7
Points From Free Throws 10.7 11.6
Shooting EVAN CIN
Field Goals Made 22.0 29.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 63.0
Field Goal % 38.5% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 10.7 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 16.9
Free Throw % 69.9% 68.9%
Ball Control EVAN CIN
Rebounds 29.8 44.4
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 13.6
Turnovers 11.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.2
Steals 5.6 6.7
Fouls 13.0 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN CIN
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 74.2
% of Possessions with EVAN CIN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 29.0%
Player Fouled 18.4% 18.3%
Turnover 16.3% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN CIN
Shot Blocked 8.3% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 36.9%