NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN MOSU
Points 66.4 72.2
Total Points   138.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 22.7
Points From Free Throws 10.2 12.7
Shooting EVAN MOSU
Field Goals Made 24.5 26.0
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 59.2
Field Goal % 39.8% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 23.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 10.2 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.6 18.1
Free Throw % 69.9% 70.3%
Ball Control EVAN MOSU
Rebounds 33.1 41.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 31.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 10.5
Turnovers 8.7 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.4
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 13.9 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN MOSU
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.6 70.4
% of Possessions with EVAN MOSU
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.7%
Turnover 12.3% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN MOSU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 29.2%