NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN BRAD
Points 60.6 75.0
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.7 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 29.8
Points From Free Throws 12.5 11.4
Shooting EVAN BRAD
Field Goals Made 20.8 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 56.9
Field Goal % 38.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 30.6
2 Point Shooting % 40.8% 55.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 12.5 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 15.3
Free Throw % 69.9% 74.3%
Ball Control EVAN BRAD
Rebounds 31.3 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 11.2
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.1
Steals 6.2 7.2
Fouls 13.1 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Bradley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN BRAD
Total Possessions 69.1
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 66.9
% of Possessions with EVAN BRAD
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 38.8%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 33.4%
Player Fouled 20.6% 18.9%
Turnover 17.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN BRAD
Shot Blocked 7.4% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 27.8%