NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN BRAD
Points 66.1 66.9
Total Points   133.0
Points From 2-Pointers 20.5 41.0
Points From 3-Pointers 36.2 16.0
Points From Free Throws 9.3 9.9
Shooting EVAN BRAD
Field Goals Made 22.3 25.8
Field Goals Attempted 51.6 50.3
Field Goal % 43.3% 51.3%
2 Pointers Made 10.3 20.5
2 Pointers Attempted 22.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.2% 57.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 28.9 14.5
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 9.3 9.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 14.2
Free Throw % 72.5% 70.1%
Ball Control EVAN BRAD
Rebounds 26.0 32.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 6.4
Turnovers 9.5 10.5
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.3
Steals 4.6 3.6
Fouls 11.7 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN BRAD
Total Possessions 63.3
Effective Scoring Chances 59.3 59.2
% of Possessions with EVAN BRAD
2 Point Attempt 32.6% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 41.5% 20.6%
Player Fouled 22.7% 18.5%
Turnover 14.9% 16.5%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN BRAD
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 17.5% 23.7%