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Evansville at Louisville
Wed Nov 25, 2020
4:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Evansville at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 21, Total Points: 125.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | EVAN | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 8-6-0 |
Evansville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | St. Louis College | -- | W by 70 | -- |
| 11/15 | Away | SE Missouri | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Ball St | +1.0 | W by 24 | +25.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Chattanooga | +8.5 | W by 8 | +16.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | SE Missouri | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Missouri St | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | BYU | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Bellarmine | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | TN Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cincinnati | +18.5 | L by 18 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana St | +15.0 | L by 14 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Murray St | -1.0 | L by 22 | -23.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Bradley | +13.0 | L by 36 | -23.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Drake | +17.5 | L by 49 | -31.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Iowa | +13.5 | L by 7 | +6.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Illinois St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | IL-Chicago | (Pick) | W by 17 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Valparaiso | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Bradley | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Murray St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Illinois St | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | S Illinois | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Indiana St | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Belmont | +11.0 | L by 17 | -6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Illinois St | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Drake | +14.0 | L by 21 | -7.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Quinnipiac | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Seattle | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -21.0 | Open | -22.0 | High | -22.0 |
| Last | -22.0 | Low | -21.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 375 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 365 times (97.3%).
- The team like Evansville won the game 10 times (2.7%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 185-179-11 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 10 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 6-4 (60.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -21.0 | -21.0 |
| Open | -21.5 | -21.0 | -21.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/25 03:59 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 03:50 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 02:44 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/25 02:44 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 11:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/25 11:02 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/25 09:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/25 07:32 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -21.0 |
| 11/24 08:53 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 07:50 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 05:24 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 11/24 04:17 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/24 04:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/24 02:47 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
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