NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN LOU
Points 72.1 72.4
Total Points   144.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 38.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.6 17.9
Points From Free Throws 12.9 16.5
Shooting EVAN LOU
Field Goals Made 25.8 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 55.3
Field Goal % 47.0% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 36.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.2% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 12.9 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 22.2
Free Throw % 69.9% 74.2%
Ball Control EVAN LOU
Rebounds 30.6 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 24.5 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.1 9.0
Turnovers 11.8 11.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.7
Steals 7.0 6.1
Fouls 16.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN LOU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 69.0
% of Possessions with EVAN LOU
2 Point Attempt 43.2% 44.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.4% 22.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.3%
Turnover 16.4% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN LOU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.0% 26.8%