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Evansville at Valparaiso
Sun Jan 26, 2020
5:00pm ET
Valparaiso, IN
Evansville at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Valparaiso by 12.5, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | EVAN | adv | VALP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-0 | 18-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-12-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-6-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-9-0 | 12-3-0 |
Evansville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miami (OH) | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | St. Louis College | -- | W by 70 | -- |
| 11/15 | Away | SE Missouri | +2.5 | W by 19 | +21.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Ball St | +1.0 | W by 24 | +25.0 |
| 11/24 | Away | Chattanooga | +8.5 | W by 8 | +16.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | SE Missouri | -5.5 | W by 19 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Missouri St | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | N Iowa | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | BYU | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | Bellarmine | +1.0 | W by 9 | +10.0 |
| 12/18 | Home | TN Martin | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | TN Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Cincinnati | +18.5 | L by 18 | +0.5 |
| 01/03 | Away | Indiana St | +15.0 | L by 14 | +1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Murray St | -1.0 | L by 22 | -23.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Bradley | +13.0 | L by 36 | -23.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 10 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Drake | +17.5 | L by 49 | -31.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Iowa | +13.5 | L by 7 | +6.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Illinois St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | IL-Chicago | (Pick) | W by 17 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Valparaiso | +1.5 | W by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Bradley | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Murray St | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Illinois St | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | S Illinois | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Indiana St | +10.5 | L by 18 | -7.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Belmont | +11.0 | L by 17 | -6.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Illinois St | +3.5 | W by 6 | +9.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Drake | +14.0 | L by 21 | -7.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Quinnipiac | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Seattle | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
| VALP -12.5 | Open | -12.5 | High | -13.0 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -12.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1403 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12 to 14 points. In these games:
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 1262 times (90.0%).
- The team like Evansville won the game 141 times (10.0%).
- The team like Evansville did better against the spread, going 704-662-37 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3230 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Evansville did better against the spread, going 1587-1583-60 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.0 | -13.0 | -12.5 |
| Open | -13.0 | -13.0 | -13.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/26 04:57 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 02:17 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 01:24 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/26 12:48 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:47 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -12.5 |
| 01/26 11:20 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 01/26 08:51 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/26 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 01/26 02:15 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 01/26 02:14 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:29 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 01/25 07:40 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:34 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
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