NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN UNI
Points 66.4 72.4
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 23.2
Points From Free Throws 10.9 15.2
Shooting EVAN UNI
Field Goals Made 24.2 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.9 54.7
Field Goal % 44.0% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 34.1 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.8 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 10.9 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 21.5
Free Throw % 69.9% 70.8%
Ball Control EVAN UNI
Rebounds 31.8 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 5.9 7.6
Turnovers 11.2 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 5.8 6.8
Fouls 15.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN UNI
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 67.6
% of Possessions with EVAN UNI
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 28.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 22.8%
Turnover 16.1% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN UNI
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.7% 22.7%