NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN PV
Points 77.5 62.9
Total Points   140.4
Points From 2-Pointers 41.2 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.3 13.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 13.3
Shooting EVAN PV
Field Goals Made 27.4 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 57.4
Field Goal % 53.6% 39.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.6 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 61.8% 42.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 14.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 16.0 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 18.9
Free Throw % 69.9% 70.5%
Ball Control EVAN PV
Rebounds 37.1 28.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.6 20.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 8.2
Turnovers 14.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 2.7
Steals 6.1 8.6
Fouls 15.7 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN PV
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 65.3 68.9
% of Possessions with EVAN PV
2 Point Attempt 41.1% 52.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 17.5%
Player Fouled 24.1% 21.7%
Turnover 20.1% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN PV
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 21.7%