NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN EIU
Points 73.4 63.9
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 18.5
Points From Free Throws 13.6 11.1
Shooting EVAN EIU
Field Goals Made 26.4 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.4 60.1
Field Goal % 50.3% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 33.3 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 42.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.1 19.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 13.6 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 15.0
Free Throw % 69.9% 73.7%
Ball Control EVAN EIU
Rebounds 35.5 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 29.2 23.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 9.4
Turnovers 11.9 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.0
Steals 5.2 7.3
Fouls 12.2 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN EIU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 69.1
% of Possessions with EVAN EIU
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 24.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 24.0% 17.6%
Turnover 17.1% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN EIU
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 21.6% 24.3%