NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN UNI
Points 56.3 71.4
Total Points   127.7
Points From 2-Pointers 26.1 34.8
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 26.5
Points From Free Throws 10.0 10.1
Shooting EVAN UNI
Field Goals Made 19.8 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 50.5 56.3
Field Goal % 39.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.1 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 27.3 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 10.1
Free Throws Attempted 13.4 14.4
Free Throw % 74.3% 70.4%
Ball Control EVAN UNI
Rebounds 30.7 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 5.4 7.0
Turnovers 12.3 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.6 2.3
Steals 4.5 6.8
Fouls 12.7 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN UNI
Total Possessions 65.7
Effective Scoring Chances 58.8 64.7
% of Possessions with EVAN UNI
2 Point Attempt 37.9% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 33.0%
Player Fouled 20.6% 19.3%
Turnover 18.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN UNI
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 16.5% 21.7%