NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN UNI
Points 61.5 67.5
Total Points   129.0
Points From 2-Pointers 29.2 29.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 24.3
Points From Free Throws 9.9 13.3
Shooting EVAN UNI
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 53.9
Field Goal % 41.3% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.6 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 30.8 31.5
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.7 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 9.9 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 19.7
Free Throw % 70.2% 67.8%
Ball Control EVAN UNI
Rebounds 32.5 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 7.8
Turnovers 10.8 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 5.7 6.2
Fouls 14.6 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN UNI
Total Possessions 66.7
Effective Scoring Chances 62.0 65.3
% of Possessions with EVAN UNI
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 41.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 29.5%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.9%
Turnover 16.2% 13.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN UNI
Shot Blocked 4.8% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 18.0% 22.8%