NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN ECU
Points 67.8 69.2
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 33.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.0 22.2
Points From Free Throws 11.2 13.1
Shooting EVAN ECU
Field Goals Made 24.5 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 57.6
Field Goal % 45.1% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.9% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 11.2 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 19.0
Free Throw % 69.9% 68.6%
Ball Control EVAN ECU
Rebounds 33.2 35.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 10.7
Turnovers 11.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 2.8 2.9
Steals 5.4 7.9
Fouls 13.6 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN ECU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.1 69.5
% of Possessions with EVAN ECU
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 43.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 19.9%
Turnover 17.2% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 11.5% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN ECU
Shot Blocked 5.0% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 29.3%