NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN ILST
Points 65.4 66.7
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.9 20.2
Points From Free Throws 9.8 13.6
Shooting EVAN ILST
Field Goals Made 24.5 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 54.4
Field Goal % 44.5% 42.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.8 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 32.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.9% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 9.8 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 18.7
Free Throw % 69.9% 73.0%
Ball Control EVAN ILST
Rebounds 31.4 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 26.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 9.3
Turnovers 10.1 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.2
Steals 4.9 5.6
Fouls 15.2 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN ILST
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 63.7 65.9
% of Possessions with EVAN ILST
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.7% 28.6%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.7%
Turnover 15.0% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN ILST
Shot Blocked 4.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 20.6% 27.3%