NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ILST EVAN
Points 66.7 65.4
Total Points   132.2
Points From 2-Pointers 32.8 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.2 19.9
Points From Free Throws 13.6 9.8
Shooting ILST EVAN
Field Goals Made 23.2 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 55.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 32.2 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.2 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 13.6 9.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 14.1
Free Throw % 73.0% 69.9%
Ball Control ILST EVAN
Rebounds 35.4 31.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 6.8
Turnovers 10.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.9
Steals 5.6 4.9
Fouls 14.0 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ILST EVAN
Total Possessions 67.0
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 63.7
% of Possessions with ILST EVAN
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 27.7%
Player Fouled 22.7% 20.8%
Turnover 15.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ILST EVAN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 20.6%