NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN SEMO
Points 74.8 62.3
Total Points   137.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.0 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 18.5
Points From Free Throws 16.3 10.0
Shooting EVAN SEMO
Field Goals Made 26.7 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.3 59.6
Field Goal % 50.0% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 38.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 16.3 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 14.2
Free Throw % 69.9% 70.6%
Ball Control EVAN SEMO
Rebounds 36.6 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 29.5 23.7
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.1
Turnovers 10.6 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.0 2.4
Steals 6.5 5.2
Fouls 13.2 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN SEMO
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.5 68.5
% of Possessions with EVAN SEMO
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 25.6%
Player Fouled 25.6% 18.6%
Turnover 15.0% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN SEMO
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 23.6%