NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN SIU
Points 66.1 72.4
Total Points   138.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.6 27.8
Points From Free Throws 13.1 14.8
Shooting EVAN SIU
Field Goals Made 24.3 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 54.2
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 27.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 53.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 26.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 13.1 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 19.2
Free Throw % 69.9% 77.2%
Ball Control EVAN SIU
Rebounds 30.7 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 6.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.4 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.0
Steals 5.6 5.6
Fouls 15.5 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN SIU
Total Possessions 68.6
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 65.7
% of Possessions with EVAN SIU
2 Point Attempt 51.1% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 33.8%
Player Fouled 24.1% 22.5%
Turnover 15.2% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN SIU
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.5% 24.3%