NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EVAN INST
Points 68.5 84.7
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.4 33.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 36.5
Points From Free Throws 10.0 15.2
Shooting EVAN INST
Field Goals Made 25.9 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 56.6
Field Goal % 43.8% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 25.6
2 Point Shooting % 48.1% 64.4%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 19.2 31.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 39.3%
Free Throws Made 10.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 18.9
Free Throw % 69.9% 80.7%
Ball Control EVAN INST
Rebounds 29.2 36.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 6.6
Turnovers 10.3 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 1.7
Steals 6.0 5.9
Fouls 15.1 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EVAN INST
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 67.8
% of Possessions with EVAN INST
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 32.0%
3 Point Attempt 24.3% 38.7%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.9%
Turnover 14.3% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EVAN INST
Shot Blocked 3.1% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 16.7% 22.0%