NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG ALBY
Points 79.6 80.0
Total Points   159.6
Points From 2-Pointers 48.3 48.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.1 17.8
Points From Free Throws 18.2 13.4
Shooting NIAG ALBY
Field Goals Made 28.5 30.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 59.5
Field Goal % 52.5% 51.0%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 24.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.0 42.6
2 Point Shooting % 60.3% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 16.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 18.2 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 18.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.9%
Ball Control NIAG ALBY
Rebounds 30.6 30.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 8.5
Turnovers 11.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.0
Steals 5.7 7.4
Fouls 13.0 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Albany

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG ALBY
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 70.7
% of Possessions with NIAG ALBY
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 51.5%
3 Point Attempt 17.5% 20.3%
Player Fouled 25.5% 17.8%
Turnover 15.8% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG ALBY
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 26.6%