NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG MAN
Points 74.5 69.1
Total Points   143.6
Points From 2-Pointers 41.8 42.7
Points From 3-Pointers 19.4 16.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 9.6
Shooting NIAG MAN
Field Goals Made 27.4 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 57.5
Field Goal % 49.7% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 21.4
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.0% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.0 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.0% 33.1%
Free Throws Made 13.3 9.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 13.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.2%
Ball Control NIAG MAN
Rebounds 32.8 29.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 23.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 6.6
Turnovers 11.0 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.3 3.0
Steals 6.0 7.2
Fouls 11.6 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Manhattan

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG MAN
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 65.6
% of Possessions with NIAG MAN
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 52.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 21.9%
Player Fouled 20.2% 16.6%
Turnover 15.7% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG MAN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 20.4%