NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG XAV
Points 68.9 82.8
Total Points   151.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.5 49.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.3 15.9
Points From Free Throws 13.0 17.4
Shooting NIAG XAV
Field Goals Made 25.2 30.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 57.1
Field Goal % 44.3% 52.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 24.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 43.1
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 14.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 13.0 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 22.9
Free Throw % 74.1% 75.8%
Ball Control NIAG XAV
Rebounds 28.2 36.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 6.7 8.8
Turnovers 11.2 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.5
Steals 4.6 6.8
Fouls 15.6 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Niagara

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG XAV
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 71.0
% of Possessions with NIAG XAV
2 Point Attempt 50.3% 52.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 17.2%
Player Fouled 21.7% 21.7%
Turnover 15.6% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG XAV
Shot Blocked 6.1% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 29.0%