NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG SYR
Points 67.2 81.6
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 19.2 15.7
Points From Free Throws 11.0 16.1
Shooting NIAG SYR
Field Goals Made 24.9 30.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 55.1
Field Goal % 45.2% 54.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 37.0 41.7
2 Point Shooting % 50.0% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 13.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 38.9%
Free Throws Made 11.0 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 22.2
Free Throw % 74.1% 72.8%
Ball Control NIAG SYR
Rebounds 29.9 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 6.3
Turnovers 14.6 9.1
Blocked Shots 1.6 4.0
Steals 4.6 9.4
Fouls 14.6 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG SYR
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.3 68.5
% of Possessions with NIAG SYR
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 53.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.5% 17.1%
Player Fouled 19.7% 20.5%
Turnover 20.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG SYR
Shot Blocked 7.2% 3.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 22.0%