NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NIAG SIE
Points 71.7 64.0
Total Points   135.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.0 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 13.4
Points From Free Throws 13.8 11.4
Shooting NIAG SIE
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.4 53.9
Field Goal % 46.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 39.4
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 4.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 14.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 13.8 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.6 16.5
Free Throw % 74.1% 68.7%
Ball Control NIAG SIE
Rebounds 31.0 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 9.4
Turnovers 9.0 12.4
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.6
Steals 6.5 4.9
Fouls 12.9 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Siena

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NIAG SIE
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 64.8
% of Possessions with NIAG SIE
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 50.4%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 18.6%
Player Fouled 22.5% 19.0%
Turnover 13.3% 18.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken NIAG SIE
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 28.6%