NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PENN DART
Points 73.8 65.4
Total Points   139.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.1 29.8
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 26.5
Points From Free Throws 8.9 9.2
Shooting PENN DART
Field Goals Made 27.2 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 54.5
Field Goal % 45.7% 43.5%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 14.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 28.8
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 51.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 27.7 25.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.2% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 8.9 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 12.6 13.8
Free Throw % 70.2% 66.3%
Ball Control PENN DART
Rebounds 34.8 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 5.9
Turnovers 7.4 9.9
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.7
Steals 6.2 3.4
Fouls 13.1 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: Dartmouth

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PENN DART
Total Possessions 66.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.8 62.9
% of Possessions with PENN DART
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 39.1%
3 Point Attempt 36.8% 34.9%
Player Fouled 17.0% 19.5%
Turnover 11.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 9.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PENN DART
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 17.8%