NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PENN YALE
Points 68.5 77.3
Total Points   145.7
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 26.1
Points From Free Throws 10.2 11.0
Shooting PENN YALE
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 58.7
Field Goal % 43.0% 49.0%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 35.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 56.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.7 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 10.2 11.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.5 15.7
Free Throw % 70.2% 69.8%
Ball Control PENN YALE
Rebounds 32.1 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.4 8.0
Turnovers 9.2 7.3
Blocked Shots 1.9 2.8
Steals 4.4 4.9
Fouls 13.5 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PENN YALE
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 68.3
% of Possessions with PENN YALE
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 33.8% 30.6%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.0%
Turnover 13.6% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PENN YALE
Shot Blocked 4.9% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.3% 24.4%