NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PENN TEM
Points 72.3 73.6
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 28.2
Points From Free Throws 12.1 12.9
Shooting PENN TEM
Field Goals Made 25.8 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 60.3
Field Goal % 44.9% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.4 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 54.4% 49.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.9 27.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 12.1 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 18.4
Free Throw % 70.2% 70.1%
Ball Control PENN TEM
Rebounds 37.4 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 10.1 7.0
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.5
Steals 4.4 5.9
Fouls 13.3 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: U Penn

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PENN TEM
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.0 71.5
% of Possessions with PENN TEM
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 41.1%
3 Point Attempt 32.7% 35.0%
Player Fouled 19.1% 19.1%
Turnover 14.6% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PENN TEM
Shot Blocked 4.2% 3.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.8% 23.6%