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U Penn at Arkansas
Sun Nov 28, 2021
4:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
U Penn at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 18.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PENN | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-17-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-10-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 4-10-0 | 5-11-0 |
U Penn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | John Jay College | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/08 | Home | Bucknell | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | St Josephs | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Villanova | +12.0 | W by 4 | +16.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland ES | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Lafayette | -10.5 | W by 2 | -8.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Belmont | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Monmouth | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | La Salle | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | FDU-Florham | -- | W by 54 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Kentucky | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Howard | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Rider | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Houston | +27.0 | L by 39 | -12.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Auburn | +20.5 | L by 20 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -6.0 | W by 29 | +23.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Cornell | +7.5 | L by 17 | -9.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Harvard | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Columbia | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Brown | +2.0 | L by 9 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Yale | +13.5 | L by 16 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Princeton | +10.0 | L by 7 | +3.0 |
| 02/16 | Home | Yale | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Brown | -5.0 | L by 7 | -12.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Dartmouth | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Harvard | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | Cornell | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Columbia | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Princeton | +6.5 | L by 22 | -15.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -18.5 | Open | -18.5 | High | -19.5 |
| Last | -18.0 | Low | -18.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 611 games where the closing line favored the home team by 17.5 to 19.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 595 times (97.4%).
- The team like Pennsylvania won the game 16 times (2.6%).
- The team like Pennsylvania did better against the spread, going 301-298-12 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3332 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1646-1634-52 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.5 | -18.5 | -18.5 |
| Open | -18.5 | -19.5 | -19.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 04:04 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/28 03:58 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:55 PM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 11/28 03:43 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:34 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:46 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:55 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -18.0 |
| 11/28 10:19 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:07 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -17.5 |
| 11/28 09:44 AM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 11/28 09:22 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 11/28 08:07 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 11/28 07:54 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 11/28 07:49 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -18.5 |
| 11/28 07:24 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/28 06:55 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:25 AM | -- | -- | -19.0 |
| 11/28 03:22 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:13 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:04 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/27 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -19.5 |
| 11/27 09:14 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/27 08:50 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 07:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/27 06:04 PM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 11/27 05:54 PM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 11/27 05:40 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 04:07 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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