NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR MTU
Points 71.0 64.3
Total Points   135.3
Points From 2-Pointers 41.4 27.0
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.5
Points From Free Throws 12.1 11.8
Shooting MURR MTU
Field Goals Made 26.5 22.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 53.3
Field Goal % 45.6% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 20.7 13.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 12.1 11.8
Free Throws Attempted 17.6 16.6
Free Throw % 68.9% 71.4%
Ball Control MURR MTU
Rebounds 34.3 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 25.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.6
Turnovers 7.8 12.2
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 5.2 3.6
Fouls 14.3 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR MTU
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 63.6
% of Possessions with MURR MTU
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 32.2%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.2%
Turnover 11.7% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR MTU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 25.5%