NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MURR JVST
Points 69.7 63.9
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 36.7 35.6
Points From 3-Pointers 20.1 16.5
Points From Free Throws 12.9 11.7
Shooting MURR JVST
Field Goals Made 25.0 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 52.7
Field Goal % 47.3% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.8% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 36.7% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 12.9 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 17.0
Free Throw % 68.9% 68.8%
Ball Control MURR JVST
Rebounds 29.7 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.1 9.7
Turnovers 9.1 11.9
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.4
Steals 5.7 5.0
Fouls 14.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Murray St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MURR JVST
Total Possessions 65.9
Effective Scoring Chances 63.9 63.8
% of Possessions with MURR JVST
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.1% 21.7%
Turnover 13.9% 18.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MURR JVST
Shot Blocked 6.6% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 30.2%